REAL TIME NEWS
The Fed did not endorse the overly optimistic market expectations during its September meeting, which contributed to the USD regaining some strength across the board. The lingering question is whether the FOMC's resistance will be enough to enable the currency... The Fed did not endorse the overly optimistic market expectations during its September meeting, which contributed to the USD regaining some strength a
London stocks were poised to conclude an eventful week with a slight decline on Friday. This downturn comes as investors take stock of the recent decisions made by various central banks, placing particular emphasis on the actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which ... London stocks were poised to conclude an eventful week with a slight decline on Friday. This downturn comes as investors take stock of the recent deci
Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global stock surge encountered a setback following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) announcement to start liquidating its subst... Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global sto
USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now around 2% higher. The fallout from the FOMC has left USD bears a little underwhelmed. While the Fed cut rates as expe... USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now ar
Implied volatility across G10 FX markets has significantly decreased, reaching levels reminiscent of pre-Federal Reserve (Fed) announcements and long-term lows. This decline is indicative of a market environment that is effectively stalled due to a lack of realized... Implied volatility across G10 FX markets has significantly decreased, reaching levels reminiscent of pre-Federal Reserve (Fed) announcements and long-
BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. While rates were held unchanged as expected, two dissenting votes in favour of further tightening revealed growing haw... BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. Whi
Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit was seen ballooning last month, with public sector net borrowing hitting £18 billion. This marked the highest leve... Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6625/15WEEKLY RANGE RES 6710 SUP 6570SEP MOPEX STRADDLE - 6260/6639SEP EOM STRADDLE - 6282/6638DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 6... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 66
Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the 1... Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resi
TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 3,617.21, a pullback support tha... TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback res

Market Insight

FX Options Insights 14/04/25

FX Options InsightsRecent developments in trade policy have significantly influenced FX options, reflecting the impact on investor confidence in the U.S. This has led to increased premiums for...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs – Continued Volatility

GOLDMAN SACHS – CONTINUED VOLATILITY FICC and Equities | 13 April 2025 | "Adversity has the effect of eliciting talents which in prosperous circumstances would have lain dormant." — Horace...

Institutional Insights: Alpine Macro-Basis Trade Mayhem: When Will The Fed Step In?

Basis Trade Mayhem: When Will The Fed Step In?A rapid unwinding of the Treasury basis trade has caused Treasury yields to rise sharply today. This trade takes advantage of small pricing discrepancies...

Institutional insights: BofA - Liquid Insight: EUR in a less USD world

BofA - Liquid Insight: EUR in a less USD worldKey Takeaways:• EUR's transformation from zero to hero: US reciprocal tariffs are detrimental to Europe, but even more damaging to the US....

FX Options Insights 10/04/25

FX Options InsightsU.S. President Donald Trump's decision to implement a 90-day tariff reprieve, excluding China, initially spurred a recovery in risk assets and a temporary reversal in the...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Framework for Finding Fast Horses and Elephant Trades

Past the Elephant Trade: Back to the Fastest HorsesFICC and EquitiesTrade tensions and tariff-induced recession fears are behind us. However, elevated market volatility and asset price dysfunction...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - CPI Preview 10/04/25

Goldman Sachs: CPI Preview FICC and Equities | 9 April 2025 | 9:19PM UTC SPX implies a ~2.30% move through tomorrow’s close. Key Forecasts (March CPI): - Core CPI: +0.27% (vs. +0.3% consensus),...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Managing Risks and Preparing for Elephant Trades

Managing Risks and Preparing for Elephant Trades FICC and Equities “This is only a problem of speed; the magnitude is not the issue. The S&P here doesn’t even take us back to the beginning of...

FX Options Insights 09/04/25

FX Options InsightsFX implied volatility surged on Wednesday following a brief pause on Tuesday, driven by the implementation of U.S. trade tariffs and China’s retaliatory 84% tariffs on U.S. goods....