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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: BofA Flow Show 07/03/25

The Flow ShowScores on the Doors:gold at 10.8%, IG bonds at 2.7%, HY bonds at 2.6%, government bonds at 2.5%, stocks at 1.3%, cash at 0.7%, commodities at -0.2%, US dollar at -4.1%, oil at -7.5%, and...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs NFP Scenario Analysis 07/03/25

Goldman Sachs: NFP PREVIEW FICC and Equities From GS Research: We project nonfarm payrolls increased by 170k in February, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of +160k but falling short of the...

Institutional Insights: Nomura "Gamma Man"

POTUS Trump is once again demonstrating his role as “The Gamma Man,” with policies that disrupt global norms, reset the status quo, and drive paradigm shifts. In this latest instance, his actions are...

Institutional Insights: Nomura - 'Growth Scare - Growth Shock'

Nomura - 'Growth Scare - Growth Shock'According to Nomura's flow guru McElligott, ISM data indicating "stagflation" has compounded ongoing concerns tied to the so-called...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key Levels 04/03/25

US Equity Positioning and Key LevelsFICC and Equities | 3 March 2025 | Consolidated Recap of Goldman Sachs Positioning MetricsSummary:CTA Corner:CTAs are modeled long +$137bn in global equities (78th...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Global FX Trader

USD: Pulling at the Strings of an Accord We remain skeptical of a centrally-planned currency accord but acknowledge shifting global policies could create conditions to weaken the Dollar. Historical...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 28/02/25

USD: exercise caution regarding tariffs in March (or possibly April?)The turnaround of the USD fortunes in the weeks following President Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20 took many by...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Gold: Profit Taking

Gold Futures: Profit TakingAfter enduring several days of broader weaknesses in commodities, Gold experienced a pullback on February 25th. A significant amount of profit taking appeared to take place...

Institutional Insights: Month End FX Rebalancing Models

Institutional Insights: Month End FX Rebalancing ModelsBanks are sharing their expectations for month-end rebalancing in February, indicating a consensus for demand for USD. According to Deutsche...